Savills top picks for value-add investors this year are logistics developments in undersupplied markets such as the Nordics and Spain, short-term income sectors such as flexible offices and student housing, which are likely to recover in the second half of this year, and multifamily developments in markets with rising demand for rental such as Southern and Eastern Europe.
2020 has been dominated on the commercial real estate market in Poland by the pandemic, whose impact varied from sector to sector though. The pandemic has, however, given rise to or accelerated a number of developments, some of which are likely to stay with us for longer. Real estate advisory firm Savills explores future trends in its preliminary summary of 2020 and its outlook for the next 12 months.
Operational residential investment (which comprises multifamily, student housing and senior living assets) accounted for 27% of global real estate investment in the first three quarters of 2020, up from just 16% a decade ago, according to the Savills Global Living Report 2020.
This year is likely to be the best for the Polish warehouse and industrial market, predicts Savills, with leasing activity already setting an all-time high in Q1-Q3 2020. Occupier take-up predominantly came from food retailers operating without any disruption despite restrictions imposed on other retail sectors and from e-commerce, including logistics operators serving e-retailers.
According to Savills latest research, total property investment activity in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania for Q1-Q3 2020 was €7.6 billion, the third-highest volume on record, despite the global COVID-19 pandemic. Total investment volumes by year-end are forecast to surpass €10 billion, which would be in line with the five-year average.
Iceland, Sweden and Norway show top potential for hyperscale and cloud-scale data centre investment, followed closely by Denmark and the Netherlands according to research from Savills. The CEE region is also becoming more important in strategic plans for key players, with Poland having the potential of being in its heart.
According to the latest Savills research, Prague’s office real estate market is fairly priced despite some minor outward prime yield movement during the first half of the year. This broader continent-wide outward yield movement has helped push the average yield spread between prime European offices and Eurozone government bonds to 325 basis points, more than 100 bps above the historic average.
Immofinanz has appointed Savills as sole property manager for its portfolio of seven office buildings in Prague, Czech Republic, with effect from January 2021. The total floor area of the assets is approximately 123,000 sqm.
According to Savills’ latest research, Europe will see an additional 11.6 million sqm of warehouse demand due to the manufacturing sector by the end of 2022, based on Capital Economics forecasts data.
The investment volume on the Polish commercial property market is estimated to have reached €1.05 billion in Q3 2020. According to Savills, the industrial sector accounted for approximately 70% of that total, which illustrates the current investor preference for logistics properties, especially facilities dedicated to e-commerce.
108 Agency Slovakia has secured a lease of 5,300 sqm for RajHračiek in ANTRACIT Park Senec, a built-to-suit project by HSF. RajHračiek is a fast-growing online store offering a wide selection of toy brands for children.
Contract Administration as a result of the renegotiation of the lease agreement, remains in the premises of the West Forum complex in Wrocław. The Lessor, represented by TFG Asset Management, was supported in the process by the consulting agency Corees Polska.
Uni-logistics, which specializes in sea, rail and air freight forwarding and road transport, has leased 5,825 sqm of warehouse and office space in Panattoni Park Tricity East VI in Poland. Real estate advisory firm Cresa Poland assisted the tenant during negotiations.
New appointments
Paweł Suracki joined Colliers as the Investment Services Director. He will be responsible for managing sales and purchasing processes on behalf of Colliers' clients and for establishing and maintaining relationships with potential and current Colliers' partners in Poland.
Avison Young has announced a key change to its directors’ team in Budapest with the arrival of Martina Cifer at the helm of its Office Leasing department. In her new capacity, she shall oversee both the company's Landlord and Tenant Representation divisions.
Łukasz Czajkowski joins the team of JLL Poland as Business Services Lead in Tenant Representation Department. He will be responsible for enhancing relations with the BSS sector.
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