According to data from Cushman & Wakefield, Poland’s commercial property investment volume hit approximately €5 billion in 2024, marking a strong rebound of around 140% year-on-year. Additionally, Polish capital significantly increased its share of investment activity, with transactions totalling €444 million last year - an almost threefold rise from 2023. However, for this momentum to continue, systemic solutions such as the adoption of the long-awaited REIT legislation are necessary. If implemented, these measures would help prevent a potential outflow of Polish investors from the real estate market, especially when yields begin to harden. 

After Q1 2024, which saw the weakest transaction volume in years (€364 million), Polish capital led the way in commercial property investments, accounting for 25% of the total volume. Notably, the volume of investments by Polish capital in the first half of the year was double that of the previous year. For reference, the average share of Polish capital in the market from 2018 to 2022 was just around 2%, says Artur Czuba, Associate Director, Investment at Avison Young. 

The headline RICS Commercial Property Sentiment Index (CPSI) holds steady in the latest survey for Q2 2024, while the outlook for secondary offices and retail remains particularly negative in many markets.