We may even have 3-4 good years left in the cycle

25
Sep
2018
News - We may even have 3-4 good years left in the cycle #CEE Property Forum 2018 #conference #investment #Property Forum #RICS

by Ákos Budai | Report

What will be the most well-performing investment products of the coming period? How does political risk factor into investment decisions? How many years of growth do we have left in the current cycle? These are some of the questions that members of the investment panel at CEE Property Forum 2018 answered.


Based on the experience of the past 20 years it is very difficult to predict which will be the most successful investment products during the next 20 years. The market is changing rapidly and we will need to face a number of challenges in the coming years, but despite all the potential risks, the CEE real estate market is booming with rents rising and yields compressing, said Mike Atwell, Head of Capital Markets Czech Republic and Lead Director CEE at JLL.
 
The lack of quality investment product remains a huge issue in the region but many believe that is not an asset’s type that determines the investment’s success but its management. There will always be demand for well managed and profitably operated property in a good location, highlighted Lila Pateraki, Chief Investment Officer at Zeus Capital Management.
 

 

Logistics continues to be the asset class offering the best returns, added James Quill, Director of Transactions at Prologis, who thinks that the current cycle may even have 3-4 good years left in it. The next big concern is the size of the correction that will follow these good years. Luckily, the experts of investment panel at CEE Property Forum 2018, moderated by Jean-Bernard Wurm, Co-Founder & Managing Director at Secure Legal Title, London, believe that it will be a mild correction.
 
As the market environment changes so does the behaviour of our clients. With less quality product available on the market, investors are willing to take bigger risks in order to find the best opportunities, added Tomás Behounek, Partner at bnt attorneys in CEE who thinks that a number of investors are still hesitant to enter CEE because of political risks.
 

 

Dr. Piotr Gozdziewicz MRICS, Director of Capital Markets CEE at BNP Paribas Real Estate, on the other hand, believes that when discussing political risk it is not enough to look at this region only. Rising political uncertainty is a global trend, so the biggest question is what will be the effect of an economic slowdown on the region.



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New leases

  • Court One has signed a lease for approximately 6,300 sqm of space at MLP Business Park Vienna. The tenant, a subsidiary of the Padeldome group, is currently Austria’s largest operator in the sector, managing 42 courts across four locations in the capital.
  • Polish fashion and lifestyle brand Medicine has accelerated its domestic expansion, headlined by the opening of its largest store to date, a 985 sqm flagship at the Silesia City Center in Katowice. This strategic scale-up is mirrored by simultaneous growth in several regional markets, including a new 740 sqm unit at Magnolia Park in Wroclaw and a 600 sqm extension at Galeria Warmińska in Olsztyn. The retailer further bolstered its Silesian presence with a 500 sqm location at Pogoria Shopping Centre and a new opening at CH Platan, significantly increasing its total floor space across Poland.
  • IAG GBS Poland, the shared services arm of the International Airlines Group (IAG), has finalised a lease renewal for 2,246 sqm of office space within the O3 Business Campus in Krakow. The decision to remain in the current location followed a comprehensive market analysis and workplace audit conducted by Savills.

New appointments

  • Avison Young has promoted Bartłomiej Krzyżak and Marcin Purgal to the roles of Co-Heads of the Investment Department in Poland. Krzyżak, previously Senior Director, brings 18 years of commercial real estate experience, having joined Avison Young in 2017. Purgal, also a former Senior Director and a member of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS), transitions into the co-head role with 23 years of experience in the CEE commercial markets.
  • Avison Young has strengthened its Polish leadership with three senior promotions. Patryk Błach ascends to Associate Director within the Investment Advisory Department. Kamil Głowienka has been named Senior Project Manager. Furthermore, Katarzyna Uzar becomes a Valuation and Innovation Specialist, tasked with integrating technological solutions and coordinating global departmental projects.
  • Katarzyna Myjak has joined Axi Immo as Senior Business Advisory Manager, tasked with strengthening the company’s Industrial & Logistics business line.


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