Strong year ahead for Poland’s industrial market

14
Feb
2017
News - Strong year ahead for Poland’s industrial market #Cushman&Wakefield #indsutrial #Poland #report

by Ákos Budai | Industrial

Poland’s total industrial and logistics stock surpassed the 11 million sqm mark at year-end 2016. Leasing activity remained strong for another consecutive year, leading to record high take-up, with more than 3 million sqm being transacted. The largest leasing volumes were recorded in Warsaw’s suburbs and Upper Silesia, and – of the smaller markets – in Szczecin and Bydgoszcz-Toruń. Cushman & Wakefield presented is yearly review on Poland’s industrial market.


Tom Listowski, Partner, Head of Industrial and Logistics Agency Poland and CEE Corporate Relations, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “The industrial and logistics space market in Poland has significantly surpassed expectations as we witnessed record levels of occupier activity and space being leased in a single year, more than 3 millions square metres. With supply chains being optimized, manufacturing output increasing, new transportation corridors opening up and the prevalent e-commerce sector gaining significant momentum, the demand for space is being driven on many fronts and we do not expect any major slowdown in 2017. Poland’s consistently high ranking in the index of the world’s top manufacturing locations over the last several years (currently #13 Globally and #6 in EMEA) is further underpinned by the record high levels of industrial activity being witnessed, re-iterating the positive attributes and foundations Poland holds in not only attracting new manufacturing operations but also supporting the expansion plans of global companies with already established platforms.”
 
Warehouse take-up hit a record high in 2016 with a 25% increase compared to the previous year’s figure, driven largely by logistics operators (32%), the FMCG sector (12%), e-commerce (11%), automotive companies (8%) and light manufacturing (6%). The largest leasing volumes were recorded in the Warsaw region (760,000 sqm) and in Upper Silesia (494,000 sqm). Strong occupier activity was also noted in Wrocław (355,000 sqm), Poznań (340,000 sqm) and Central Poland (307,000 sqm), and in smaller regional markets such as Tricity (97,000 sqm) and Krakow (89,000 sqm). Improvements in road infrastructure have benefited emerging markets which saw record high take-up levels, including Szczecin (338,000 sqm) and Bydgoszcz-Toruń (128,000 sqm). New lease agreements and extensions accounted for 69% of the total leasing volume with renegotiations making up 31%.

Adrian Semaan, report author and Consultant, Industrial and Logistics Agency, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “Regional markets are seeing increased occupier interest. Leading e-commerce operators signed last year’s two largest lease agreements near Szczecin: Panattoni will develop a 161,000 sqm BTS scheme for Amazon in Kołbaskowo and Zalando will occupy 130,000 sqm in Goodman’s scheme in Gryfino.”
 
Warehouse supply totalled approximately 1.18 million sqm, which represented the second largest ever annual figure since 2008 and an approx. 25% increase year-on-year. The largest volumes of new warehouse space were delivered to Poland’s five core markets: Warsaw’s suburbs (220,000 sqm), Upper Silesia (216,000 sqm), Central Poland (196,000 sqm), Poznań (177,000 sqm) and Wrocław (123,000 sqm). At the end of December 2016, there was more than 1.3 million sqm under construction with the highest concentration of new developments taking place in Warsaw’s suburbs (302,000 sqm) and in Poznań (227,000 sqm). Other regional markets seeing robust developer activity include Bydgoszcz-Toruń (130,000 sqm), Upper Silesia (123,000 sqm) and Wrocław (102,000 sqm).

The high supply level pushed the vacancy rate to 6.7% at the end of 2016 (up by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year), equating to approximately 740,000 sqm of vacant warehouse space. Of the core warehouse markets, the highest vacancy rates were in Warsaw’s Inner City and Krakow (11% in each). Vacancy rates stood at around 7.5% in Warsaw’s suburbs, Upper Silesia and Poznań, and at below the national average in Wrocław (5.3%). Other regional markets recorded low vacancies (less than 5%). The lowest vacancy rate was in Central Poland (2.9%), and the highest in Lublin (12.7%).

Headline rents remained flat or fell slightly at year-end 2016. Growing competition among developers has given tenants a stronger bargaining power in some locations such as Poznań and Krakow. The highest rents are in Warsaw’s Inner City, standing at €4.00–5.25/sqm/month. In other regions rents range between €2.40–4.20/sqm/month.



Latest news


New leases

  • IAG GBS Poland, the shared services arm of the International Airlines Group (IAG), has finalised a lease renewal for 2,246 sqm of office space within the O3 Business Campus in Krakow. The decision to remain in the current location followed a comprehensive market analysis and workplace audit conducted by Savills.
  • Golden Star Estate has secured two ground-floor tenants at its Warsaw-based Konstruktorska Business Center. 5 SENSES has signed as the new canteen operator, occupying 560 sqm of ground-floor retail space. Concurrently, CONTRACT Meble Biurowe has extended its commitment to the property. The firm, which has operated a publicly accessible showroom at the site since 2021, renewed its lease for 350 sqm on the ground floor.
  • American retailer GAP entered the Romanian market at Fashion House Militari, followed by the launch of an Italian Stefanel store at Fashion House Pallady, with a further Stefanel location scheduled to open shortly in Militari.

New appointments

  • Avison Young has strengthened its Polish leadership with three senior promotions. Patryk Błach ascends to Associate Director within the Investment Advisory Department. Kamil Głowienka has been named Senior Project Manager. Furthermore, Katarzyna Uzar becomes a Valuation and Innovation Specialist, tasked with integrating technological solutions and coordinating global departmental projects.
  • Katarzyna Myjak has joined Axi Immo as Senior Business Advisory Manager, tasked with strengthening the company’s Industrial & Logistics business line.
  • Czech investment group SCF has expanded its team by appointing Jan Simandl as Senior Leasing Team Leader. In this role, Simandl will oversee leasing activities across the company’s commercial property portfolio. He previously worked for CPI Property Group and CBRE.


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