Investors rethink strategy as capital, financing and AI reshape real estate

21
May
2026
News - Investors rethink strategy as capital, financing and AI reshape real estate #Czech Republic #investment #Prague #Prague Property Forum #report #underwriting

by Property Forum | Report

At Prague Property Forum 2026, the opening panel examined how investors are adapting their strategies in a volatile macro environment. Speakers highlighted that despite continued appetite for Czech real estate, higher financing costs, limited availability of quality assets, and growing uncertainty are pushing investors to become more selective, more cautious and increasingly focused on long-term resilience.


Moderator Tomáš Jandík, Founder of Crestpoint Capital Partners, structured the discussion around the full lifecycle of a transaction – from capital raising and market selection to underwriting, financing, portfolio construction and data strategy. 

Representing the capital-raising perspective, Robert Kubín, Head of Distribution and Deputy Chairman of the Board at Amundi Czech Republic, underlined how unusual the Czech market is in a European and global context. Czech households allocate a far higher share of their portfolios to real estate than the European average, a pattern reinforced by strong cultural preference for tangible assets and years of inflows into residential property. This has supported the rapid growth of domestic real estate funds, with dozens of licensed managers collectively managing a sizeable pool of capital. However, Kubín stressed that this abundance of money chasing a limited pipeline of quality product makes acquisitions increasingly difficult and pushes pricing to levels that may not sustain historic returns around 7% per year, especially given higher financing costs and more attractive yields now available in other asset classes.

From the vantage point of a relatively young cross-border fund, Fraser Watson, Head of Real Estate at Axelor Group, provided a ground‑level view of competition and strategy. While acknowledging that the Czech Republic is a competitive market, he argued that well-prepared buyers still have a realistic chance of winning tenders in assets that fit their mandate, as typical bidding pools are not excessively crowded. For Axelor, the plan has always been to diversify internationally within a few years, leveraging the group’s presence in multiple European countries, local networks and service providers. He described their allocation approach as predominantly strategic, based on structured country and sector research, but with room to act opportunistically when rare, well‑located assets become available. On technology, Watson emphasised that data structuring and system design are being built with future AI tools in mind, but that for Axelor, technology is intended to support – not replace – the fundamentally relationship‑driven nature of real estate investment.

Marcel Kolesar MRICS, Transaction Manager at RSJ Investments, focused on how underwriting has evolved under heightened uncertainty, especially for development projects with multi‑year horizons. He noted that the core methodology has not radically changed over the past year, but scenario analysis has become deeper and more conservative, particularly around interest rate paths and financing conditions. RSJ is increasingly selective, prioritising projects with clear differentiating features that mitigate specific risks such as leasing or exit uncertainty, rather than standard, “plain vanilla” developments. Kolesar also described RSJ’s cautious but committed push to embed AI into analytics, dashboards and internal workflows. Progress has been gradual, he said, due both to the rapid evolution of AI tools and to the real estate sector’s general tendency to adopt technological innovation more slowly than other industries, which makes flexible, “AI‑agnostic” processes more valuable than any single tool.

Looking at financing as a practical constraint on deal flow, Ondřej Křivanec, Executive Director at Fidurock, argued that access to debt remains the decisive factor for many investors. He described recent years as a period in which long‑term planning is essential but frequently disrupted by unexpected macro and rate shocks, requiring sponsors to build more contingencies into their capital structures, including room for mezzanine solutions at refinancing if needed. Křivanec confirmed that sudden shifts in rates have already derailed otherwise advanced transactions when the economics no longer worked, and repricing could not be agreed with sellers. Nonetheless, he stressed that for high‑quality assets in favoured sectors such as retail parks and residential, banks remain willing to lend. For Fidurock’s own growth, he characterised continuous deal sourcing and execution as the core engine of the business, illustrating how the company has scaled from a mid‑sized urban transaction a few years ago to large‑scale residential development today.

Finally, Andreas Kozma, Founder & CEO of iREMS International AG, addressed the strategic importance of data and technology in an era of cross‑border expansion and growing portfolio complexity. He reported significantly increased interest from funds in using structured, high‑quality data to create a feedback loop between transactions and asset management, but argued that most organisations are still approaching the issue tactically – by layering systems and AI tools on top of spreadsheets – rather than redefining data as a managed, long‑term corporate asset. In his view, effective use of data and AI in investment decision‑making requires senior‑level commitment, clear governance, a consistent data model, and training of staff across the business, after which technology choices can be made more rationally. Kozma also cautioned that AI, while powerful in automating much of the heavy lifting in document processing and analysis, continues to require rigorous human oversight, particularly as more Czech capital moves into neighbouring markets such as Poland, where differences in language, regulation and market practice amplify the risks of incomplete or misinterpreted information.




Latest news


New leases

  • International fashion retailer Primark has opened its fifth Romanian store, spanning 3,185 sqm, at ElectroPutere Mall in Craiova, marking its debut in the country's south-west region. The launch follows a €10 million investment.
  • Speedwell has secured four new medical tenants for its Paltim mixed-use urban project in Timișoara. Colegiul Medicilor Stomatologi - Filiala Timiș has leased approximately 105 sqm, with an opening scheduled for November 2026. Concurrently, Paul Bold Dental Solutions will open a 143 sqm dental clinic in November 2026. Ophthalmology clinic ArtVision Med & Sofilens Lux has occupied 172 sqm since January 2026. Lastly, Ziva, a dermatology, aesthetics, and gynaecology clinic, has taken 92 sqm and will officially open in July 2026.
  • Equans has leased 1,600 sqm for a new IT hub in Bucharest-based One Cotroceni Park, in a deal brokered by Cushman & Wakefield Echinox.

New appointments

  • BNP Paribas Real Estate Poland has expanded its Industrial and Logistics Agency team with the appointments of Joanna Choromańska, formerly of JLL, and Bartosz Wilczyński, previously with CBRE. The new hires bring a combined 34 years of experience in sector sales, lease negotiations, and build-to-suit project delivery to support the division's ongoing growth.
  • Speedwell has expanded its industrial and logistics team with the appointment of Valentin Achim as Leasing and Property Manager for Industrial Developments. Achim brings extensive experience in coordinating commercial and operational activities within the logistics and industrial sectors. In his new role, he will oversee the development and expansion of the company's Spaceplus platform.
  • Colliers has appointed Kata Mazsaroff, Tamás Beck, and Miklós Ecsődi as Equity Partners in Hungary, effective 30 April 2026. Mazsaroff, who joined in 2007, rises to Managing Partner after overseeing a 200 per cent revenue increase since her 2022 appointment as Managing Director. Beck, with Colliers since 1994, has led the Industrial & Logistics division since 2005, facilitating transactions covering 1.9 million sqm of built space and 9.8 million sqm of land. Ecsődi, Head of Occupier Services and Office Agency since joining in 2011, has secured over 450,000 sqm in leases valued above €600 million.


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